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AJS Support UK PFCO Trends

The current quantity of operators on the UK CAA PFCO list V113 Dated 6 December 2019 is 5600.

The quantity of operators continues to increase overall, with a number of small drops in numbers between some versions. Since the end of Dec 2018, there has been an increase of 672 operators. This time last year for the same period we saw an increase of 1370 operators.

Indications are that less than 20% of current PFCO owners have been registered for longer than 2-3 years. Indicating a high level of turnover of operators.

At the time of publishing, this list has 41 of those listed in the CAP have expiry dates at pre CAP Issue date. We would assume that these are “in-process” and expected to be current again at some point.

The numbers of Restricted and Full National Qualified Entities (NQE) remains constant. See our searchable NQE List here.

Our Observations

The trend in Figures 1 below currently covers 2013 to date and the last CAP1361 imported was V113 Dated 6 Dec 2019.

Figure 1 above plots the total quantity of operators and the quantity of UK CAA PFCO IDs per list published. On the right-hand side of the graphic, there is a magnification of the recent part of the operator quantity trend line.

Although there has been an overall increase of operators from list to list, after V71 there has been a recent reduction in the rate of rise including a drop in numbers for the month of Jan 2019.

The current quantity of operators on the UK CAA PFCO list is 5600. There has only been an overall quantity rise of 672 operators since the start of the year. This is in contrast to this time last year when we saw an increase of 1370.

The number of operators continues to increase month on month but the rate of change has slowed considerably, with some issues of the list showing a short term drop in operator quantities.

The last CAA ID on list – #10622 (An increase of 2370 CAA ID numbers this year) . This is used by us as an indication of the number of new IDs allocated by UK CAA.

Figure 2 – PFCO Operator Retention

Figure 2 above indicates by percentage and year those on the current CAP 1361 list. This indicates that less than 20% have been registered from before 2017. Indicating a high degree of transient operators.

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